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Reconciling Trends in U.S. Male Earnings Volatility: Results from Survey and Administrative Data
(2022-01-31)
There is a large literature on earnings and income volatility in labor economics, household finance, and macroeconomics. One strand of that literature has studied whether individual earnings volatility has risen or fallen ...
The Marginal Labor Supply Disincentives of Welfare: Evidence from Administrative Barriers to Participation
(2022-01-19)
Existing research on the static effects of the manipulation of welfare program benefit parameters on labor supply has allowed only restrictive forms of heterogeneity in preferences. Yet preference heterogeneity implies ...
The Supplemental Expenditure Poverty Measure: A New Method for Measuring Poverty
(2022-05-10)
We propose a new measure of the rate of poverty we call the Supplemental Expenditure Poverty Measure (SEPM) based on expenditure in the Consumer Expenditure survey. It treats household expenditure as a measure of resources ...
Take-up of Social Benefits
(2022-06-06)
Take-up of a social benefit is usually defined as receiving a benefit for which an individual or household is eligible. The take-up rate is the fraction of those eligible for a program who participate and receive a benefit ...
The Return to Work in Disablity Programs: What Has Been Learned and Next Steps
(Social Security Administration, 2022-01-24)
We review a number of demonstrations conducted by the Social Security
Administration which have attempted to improve labor market outcomes for disabled worker
beneficiaries of the Social Security Disability Insurance ...
Identification of Unobservables in Observations
(2022-12-05)
In empirical studies, the data usually don't include all the variables of interest in an economic model. This paper shows the identification of unobserved variables in observations at the population level. When the observables ...
Revealing Unobservables by Deep Learning: Generative Element Extraction Networks (GEEN)
(2022-10-03)
Latent variable models are crucial in scientific research, where a key variable, such as effort, ability, and belief, is unobserved in the sample but needs to be identified. This paper proposes a novel method for estimating ...
The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic Recession on Less Educated Women's Human Capital: Some Projectsion
(2022-11-08)
The recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in major declines in employment of women, both from the demand side as firms reduced employment and from the supply side resulting from school closures and the closing ...