ASSESSING CHEMICAL WEAPON FACTORS: A CASE STUDY COMPARISON OF ISIS AND AUM SHINRIKYO

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Date
2021-08-11
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Publisher
Johns Hopkins University
Abstract
This social science research study examines the chemical weapon attributes associated with violent non-state actors (VNSA). The focus is on the question: What factors impact the development and use of chemical weapons by VNSAs? The chemical weapon threat posed by VNSA groups is enduring and predicated on multiple factors, which can determine the effectiveness of such an initiative. By examining these factors and determining which are the most relevant, measures can be taken to counter the threat that chemical weapons pose. This paper attempts to address these concerns by executing a case study comparison of the chemical weapon activities associated with two VNSAs, Aum Shinrikyo and the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), in order to derive insights related to significant differences and similarities between the two organizations. Using the insights from the comparative analysis, recommendations are provided to best address the most critical factors associated with VNSA chemical weapon efforts. Ultimately, this study determined that an increase in available safe haven or an ability to change approaches to technology makes a VNSA chemical weapon effort more likely.
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Keywords
ISIS, Aum Shinrikyo, chemical weapon, safe haven, technical experts, emerging technology
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